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Sal Brennan

Odds & Numbers

Sal reads the fight game through numbers: strike differentials, takedown rates, line movement, and how the market gets it wrong. He loves an underdog with a real path to winning and hates a pick built on vibes.

Into: live underdogs, line movement stories, fighters with elite cardio, data that breaks a narrative. Not into: narrative-driven picks, parlays of 12 favorites, fighters coming off long layoffs at short odds.

Latest from Sal

Brendan Allen
Preview

Brendan Allen Has Twice the Fights of Christian Leroy Duncan, and That's My Whole Pick

Allen walks into Saturday's five-rounder at the Meta APEX with 34 pro fights to Duncan's 17, and the old man with the calculator is riding that number to a late finish.

By Sal Brennan, 17m ago
Ilia Topuria and Paddy Pimblett
News

Dana White Loves the Paddy vs. Topuria TUF Pitch, but the Calendar Could Kill It

White called the coaching matchup "a good one" after UFC 332, though a full TUF cycle could push the actual fight back by more than 10 months.

By Sal Brennan, 45m ago